If You're a Betting Man...
Bet against me getting any of these right...
Bet on Nick Foles starting at QB at some point this season over Mike Vick
Bet against the the old guys finishing in the top 5 in AL batting average. Right now...
Derek Jeter is #1 at .396
David Ortiz is #2 at .395
Paul Konerko is #4 at .383
Jeter is 37, Ortiz and Konerko are both 36 years old
Bet on at least 4 closers/set up men getting traded by the trade deadline, possible candidates:
Grant Balfour OAK
Chris Perez CLE
Jonathan Broxton KC
Francisco Rodriguez MIL
Brandon League SEA
Fernando Salas STL
David Hernandez ARI
Joel Peralta TB
Bet against Bartolo Colon getting over 15 wins. He is on pace for 18
He's pitched against the 19th, 20th and 21st worse hitting teams in baseball
His A's have the lowest team batting average and on base percentage in all of baseball
Bet on Kim Kardashian and Kanye West getting married by August of this year
Bet against me producing a number one rap album within the next year
It just won't happen
Bet on Jake Peavy contending for a Cy Young
I'm all in and with a 33:5 K:BB ratio I think he's back
He also has two complete games, 1.67 ERA and is 3-1 so far this year
Bet against Drew Smyly having a sub 2.00 ERA
The Detroit rookie leads the AL starters in ERA at 1.23
I just think he'll come back to earth. He currently has a 100% left on base percentage
Bet on Matt Kemp getting 35/35 this season
He'll get the Barry Bonds treatment soon getting intentionally walked leading to more steals
Bet against Jordan Zimmerman finishing with under 14 walks allowed
At this pace if he throws 180 innings he'll only allow 13 walks
He has great control but he'll finish with around 30 walks allowed by season's end
He'll be in the top 10 again like he was last season (31 BB's in 161.1 IP in 2011)
Bet on Omar Infante having a career year if he stays healthy
At this pace he'll hit 50 home runs. I think 22 is possible
He's currently hitting .327 with a BABIP of .289 (3rd lowest BABIP of career)
Bet against Tim Lincecum throwing over 150 innings
I think something is wrong with his arm
There's a lot of similarities with him and Brian Wilson regarding a decrease in velocity
Bet on Johan Santana having a sub 2.30 ERA and a sub 1.13 WHIP
I also think he gets 200 K's
Currently at 24 IP has 29 K's with a 2.22 ERA and 1.13 WHIP
Bet against Albert Pujols hitting over .300 and over 30 Home Runs
I called a down year entering the season but not this bad, this is a serious issue
.083 Isolated Power this year so far and a career worse walk rate
Bet on 25 pitchers having 200 or more strikeouts. Here's 30 candidates:
Verlander, Kershaw, Halladay, Lee, Sabathia,
Shields, Hernandez, Price, Gallardo, C.J. Wilson,
Morrow, A. Sanchez, Greinke, Weaver, Hamels,
G. Gonzalez, Haren, Cain, I. Kennedy, J. Santana,
Dempster, Lester, Garza, Latos, Romero,
Strasburg, Peavy, G. Floyd, Lincecum, Hanson.
Bet against me going to watch the new Battleship movie
The previews make it seem nothing like the board game
If someone would make a Stratego movie I'd be there in a heartbeat
Bet on me getting a girlfriend
Then let me bet against myself and make a ton of money
Bet against Bronson Arroyo finishing in the top 10 in home runs allowed this year
He has finished in the top 10 in home runs every year since 2006
He's allowed only 2 bombs in 26.2 innings so far this season
At this pace he'll give up 16 which would have tied him for 89th last year
Bet on my Broncos winning the AFC West
I'm still on board even though we had a bad draft
Bet against RG3 having a Cam Newton-like season
Newton had a running game and Steve Smith on the outside
Griffin has nothing special around him. I do like Fred Davis this year as a red zone target though
Bet on me bashing Lebron at any chance I get over the next decade
Bet against Clay Buchholz having a winning record this year
He has a 8.87 ERA and 1.93 WHIP
Only reason he's 2-1 is because he has a 13.70 run support average (1st in MLB)
2nd highest run support average in MLB is his teammate Felix Doubront at 11.86
Doubront is 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP
Bet on Cole Hamels finishing with the best K/BB and K/9 ratios of his career
Right now he has a K/BB of 10.0 and a K/9 of 10.25
His previous career bests at K/BB was 4.41 and K/9 was 9.86
Bet against Andrew McCutchen cutting his dreads
Be patient with him, Giancarlo Stanton didn't hit his first home run until April 29th
They will both have solid years. I'm not worried at all
Bet on me buying low on the following:
Ike Davis (twitter follower @nic171 is doing the same)
Albert Pujols
Yovani Gallardo (still has great strikeout and walk rates)
Jesus Montero (he has 5 games at catcher, halfway there)
Jose Reyes
Bet against the Chicago Bulls winning the title this year without D. Rose
They could still make it to the East finals but without Rose don't stand a chance against the Heat
Bet on me NOT buying low on the following:
Mat Latos (bad strikeout rate and ball park)
Jose Bautista (he isn't elite anymore)
Gaby Sanchez
Jeff Francoeur
Kevin Youkilis
Bet against the Magic bringing back Dwight Howard next year
I think Brooklyn gets him in return for Brook Lopez, Sheldon Williams and a lot of picks.
Bet on the two NBA teams that make the NBA finals:
Play in a state that borders the Atlantic ocean
Bet against the development of Seattle Seahawks first round pick Bruce Irvin
He was a high school drop out
He lived on the streets for a few years and was once arrested for armed robbery
Now he's rich
Bet on Trent Richardson being a top 10 running back in fantasy football this year
Bet against the work ethic of Chiefs first round selection Dontari Poe
He took a lot of plays off and struggled against below average lineman in college
Poe may end up being a bust if he doesn't focus up
Bet on Prince Fielder hitting under .300 this year
He's never hit over .300 in his career (.299 in 2009 and 2011)
His BABIP is .355 right now which makes me feel that he'll regress from his current .312 average
Bet against Starlin Castro leading the Cubs in steals at season's end (10 right now)- Tony Campana will
Bet on Gerardo Parra leading the Diamondbacks in steals at season's end (7 right now)
Bet against Mike Aviles leading the Red Sox in steals at season's end (3 right now)- Ellsbury or Pedroia
Bet on Jordan Schafer leading the Astros in steals at season's end (7 right now)
Bet against me rooting for Rajon Rondo
I never liked him and after bumping into the ref in game one against the Hawks i'm done for life
Bet on the Clippers going deep in the playoffs if:
Chris Paul doesn't have to play "limited minutes"
Blake Griffin makes clutch free throws
He was 2 for 2 at the strike in the final 2 minutes of game 1
Bet against the Clippers going deep in the playoffs if:
Reggie Evans keeps throwing up gang signs after making lay ups, I heard Memphis is pretty ghetto
Safety first Clipper gang
Bet on me getting a call from my mom asking if this article is about sports gambling
No mom it's not
Bet against Matt Moore being a top 40 pitcher this year because:
Last year was a small sample size
He has a WHIP of 1.49 in 34.1 major league innings
He's given up 5 home runs in those innings
His current GB/FB rate is 0.57 (means he is giving up a lot of fly balls)
Fly balls don't need to travel far to leave Yankee Stadium, Fenway, or Tropicana
Bet on Jonathon Niese putting it all together this year and finishing as a top 30 pitcher
He is a ground ball pitcher that has a 8.07 K/9 rate right now
His career K/9 rate is 7.68 and his career K/BB rate is 2.60
Currently has a WHIP of 0.97 and an ERA of 2.81
Bet against this article being the reason ESPN will one day hire me
Hit me on twitter @Awies28
Alex Wiesner
Bet against me getting any of these right...
Bet on Nick Foles starting at QB at some point this season over Mike Vick
Bet against the the old guys finishing in the top 5 in AL batting average. Right now...
Derek Jeter is #1 at .396
David Ortiz is #2 at .395
Paul Konerko is #4 at .383
Jeter is 37, Ortiz and Konerko are both 36 years old
Bet on at least 4 closers/set up men getting traded by the trade deadline, possible candidates:
Grant Balfour OAK
Chris Perez CLE
Jonathan Broxton KC
Francisco Rodriguez MIL
Brandon League SEA
Fernando Salas STL
David Hernandez ARI
Joel Peralta TB
Bet against Bartolo Colon getting over 15 wins. He is on pace for 18
He's pitched against the 19th, 20th and 21st worse hitting teams in baseball
His A's have the lowest team batting average and on base percentage in all of baseball
Bet on Kim Kardashian and Kanye West getting married by August of this year
Bet against me producing a number one rap album within the next year
It just won't happen
Bet on Jake Peavy contending for a Cy Young
I'm all in and with a 33:5 K:BB ratio I think he's back
He also has two complete games, 1.67 ERA and is 3-1 so far this year
Bet against Drew Smyly having a sub 2.00 ERA
The Detroit rookie leads the AL starters in ERA at 1.23
I just think he'll come back to earth. He currently has a 100% left on base percentage
Bet on Matt Kemp getting 35/35 this season
He'll get the Barry Bonds treatment soon getting intentionally walked leading to more steals
Bet against Jordan Zimmerman finishing with under 14 walks allowed
At this pace if he throws 180 innings he'll only allow 13 walks
He has great control but he'll finish with around 30 walks allowed by season's end
He'll be in the top 10 again like he was last season (31 BB's in 161.1 IP in 2011)
Bet on Omar Infante having a career year if he stays healthy
At this pace he'll hit 50 home runs. I think 22 is possible
He's currently hitting .327 with a BABIP of .289 (3rd lowest BABIP of career)
Bet against Tim Lincecum throwing over 150 innings
I think something is wrong with his arm
There's a lot of similarities with him and Brian Wilson regarding a decrease in velocity
Bet on Johan Santana having a sub 2.30 ERA and a sub 1.13 WHIP
I also think he gets 200 K's
Currently at 24 IP has 29 K's with a 2.22 ERA and 1.13 WHIP
Bet against Albert Pujols hitting over .300 and over 30 Home Runs
I called a down year entering the season but not this bad, this is a serious issue
.083 Isolated Power this year so far and a career worse walk rate
Bet on 25 pitchers having 200 or more strikeouts. Here's 30 candidates:
Verlander, Kershaw, Halladay, Lee, Sabathia,
Shields, Hernandez, Price, Gallardo, C.J. Wilson,
Morrow, A. Sanchez, Greinke, Weaver, Hamels,
G. Gonzalez, Haren, Cain, I. Kennedy, J. Santana,
Dempster, Lester, Garza, Latos, Romero,
Strasburg, Peavy, G. Floyd, Lincecum, Hanson.
Bet against me going to watch the new Battleship movie
The previews make it seem nothing like the board game
If someone would make a Stratego movie I'd be there in a heartbeat
Bet on me getting a girlfriend
Then let me bet against myself and make a ton of money
Bet against Bronson Arroyo finishing in the top 10 in home runs allowed this year
He has finished in the top 10 in home runs every year since 2006
He's allowed only 2 bombs in 26.2 innings so far this season
At this pace he'll give up 16 which would have tied him for 89th last year
Bet on my Broncos winning the AFC West
I'm still on board even though we had a bad draft
Bet against RG3 having a Cam Newton-like season
Newton had a running game and Steve Smith on the outside
Griffin has nothing special around him. I do like Fred Davis this year as a red zone target though
Bet on me bashing Lebron at any chance I get over the next decade
Bet against Clay Buchholz having a winning record this year
He has a 8.87 ERA and 1.93 WHIP
Only reason he's 2-1 is because he has a 13.70 run support average (1st in MLB)
2nd highest run support average in MLB is his teammate Felix Doubront at 11.86
Doubront is 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP
Bet on Cole Hamels finishing with the best K/BB and K/9 ratios of his career
Right now he has a K/BB of 10.0 and a K/9 of 10.25
His previous career bests at K/BB was 4.41 and K/9 was 9.86
Bet against Andrew McCutchen cutting his dreads
Be patient with him, Giancarlo Stanton didn't hit his first home run until April 29th
They will both have solid years. I'm not worried at all
Bet on me buying low on the following:
Ike Davis (twitter follower @nic171 is doing the same)
Albert Pujols
Yovani Gallardo (still has great strikeout and walk rates)
Jesus Montero (he has 5 games at catcher, halfway there)
Jose Reyes
Bet against the Chicago Bulls winning the title this year without D. Rose
They could still make it to the East finals but without Rose don't stand a chance against the Heat
Bet on me NOT buying low on the following:
Mat Latos (bad strikeout rate and ball park)
Jose Bautista (he isn't elite anymore)
Gaby Sanchez
Jeff Francoeur
Kevin Youkilis
Bet against the Magic bringing back Dwight Howard next year
I think Brooklyn gets him in return for Brook Lopez, Sheldon Williams and a lot of picks.
Bet on the two NBA teams that make the NBA finals:
Play in a state that borders the Atlantic ocean
Bet against the development of Seattle Seahawks first round pick Bruce Irvin
He was a high school drop out
He lived on the streets for a few years and was once arrested for armed robbery
Now he's rich
Bet on Trent Richardson being a top 10 running back in fantasy football this year
Bet against the work ethic of Chiefs first round selection Dontari Poe
He took a lot of plays off and struggled against below average lineman in college
Poe may end up being a bust if he doesn't focus up
Bet on Prince Fielder hitting under .300 this year
He's never hit over .300 in his career (.299 in 2009 and 2011)
His BABIP is .355 right now which makes me feel that he'll regress from his current .312 average
Bet against Starlin Castro leading the Cubs in steals at season's end (10 right now)- Tony Campana will
Bet on Gerardo Parra leading the Diamondbacks in steals at season's end (7 right now)
Bet against Mike Aviles leading the Red Sox in steals at season's end (3 right now)- Ellsbury or Pedroia
Bet on Jordan Schafer leading the Astros in steals at season's end (7 right now)
Bet against me rooting for Rajon Rondo
I never liked him and after bumping into the ref in game one against the Hawks i'm done for life
Bet on the Clippers going deep in the playoffs if:
Chris Paul doesn't have to play "limited minutes"
Blake Griffin makes clutch free throws
He was 2 for 2 at the strike in the final 2 minutes of game 1
Bet against the Clippers going deep in the playoffs if:
Reggie Evans keeps throwing up gang signs after making lay ups, I heard Memphis is pretty ghetto
Safety first Clipper gang
Bet on me getting a call from my mom asking if this article is about sports gambling
No mom it's not
Bet against Matt Moore being a top 40 pitcher this year because:
Last year was a small sample size
He has a WHIP of 1.49 in 34.1 major league innings
He's given up 5 home runs in those innings
His current GB/FB rate is 0.57 (means he is giving up a lot of fly balls)
Fly balls don't need to travel far to leave Yankee Stadium, Fenway, or Tropicana
Bet on Jonathon Niese putting it all together this year and finishing as a top 30 pitcher
He is a ground ball pitcher that has a 8.07 K/9 rate right now
His career K/9 rate is 7.68 and his career K/BB rate is 2.60
Currently has a WHIP of 0.97 and an ERA of 2.81
Bet against this article being the reason ESPN will one day hire me
Hit me on twitter @Awies28
Alex Wiesner
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